I don't understand what you mean when you say you are trying to "establish a risk factor."
The risk factor is there. It exists. You can get HPV in this way, from sucking dick, from being sucked, from skin to skin contact, etc.
A penis coming through a gloryhole is no different than a penis anywhere else. This is why your question confuses me.
The answer, however, remains the same: yes, yes, yes... the risk is there.
As far as condoms are concerned... since HPV can be spread by skin to skin contact, condoms are not considered a complete defense against HPV. Some skin is generally still left exposed and contact is possible. That being said, condoms are still a very good idea if this is a concern for you. SOME protection is better than none at all.
And while I DO NOT support "odds theories" of potential risk when it comes to STDs, you should consider BOTH what is POSSIBLE and what is PROBABLE. Lots of men suck dick all the damn time and do not get HPV. But you might. Roll the dice, take your chances, all of that. You've heard it all before... I hope.
As for HPV and anal cancer in men... I have never heard of this, but I'd like to know the answer for sure. This IS true with women and cervical cancer, however. I think that we hear most often about women getting HPV from male partners and then having to deal with the risk of cervical cancer, and the emphasis on males needing to be considerate of the women in their lives if they are fucking around -- so this may overshadow any focus on anal warts in men.
If you come into contact with a dick that has warts, you may never know it. They can be so tiny that you cannot see them. The guy who HAS them may not even know it -- so once again, a gloryhole makes no difference. Yet you may come into contact with a dick that just has a mole or small skin tag or something on it, and get freaked out thinking the guy has warts when he does not. AGAIN... the gloryhole doesn't matter.
And finally, do understand that HPV IS forever, though symptoms are treatable and it's NO FUN at all to have this little problem, which tends to recur OFTEN enough to make life miserable during flare-ups.
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